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Intrinsic Valuation of JUBLFOOD |
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JUBLFOOD Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over
past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF Growth |
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2021 |
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$4,944,958,000 |
-9.09% |
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EPS (FY) |
6.37 |
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Market Cap |
380B |
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2020 |
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$5,439,573,000 |
74.02% |
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P/E Ratio |
81.77 |
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Total Asset |
48B |
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2019 |
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$3,125,863,000 |
11.57% |
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Net Income |
4B |
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Total Debt |
21B |
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2018 |
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$2,801,769,000 |
-6.48% |
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EBITDA |
12B |
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Total Liab |
28B |
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2017 |
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$2,995,850,000 |
2563.66% |
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Opr Margin |
0.1697 |
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Debt/Equity |
1.08 |
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2016 |
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$112,471,000 |
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PreTax Margin |
0.1373 |
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BV/Share |
- |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$3,861,602,600 |
17.50% |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.00 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.50% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.40% |
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Discount Rete (WACC): |
9.25% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
1.48% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection |
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2022 |
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$5,810,505,239 |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$134.32 |
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2023 |
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$6,827,554,681 |
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2024 |
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$8,022,624,711 |
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2025 |
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$9,426,875,398 |
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2026 |
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$11,076,920,956 |
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2027 |
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$13,015,784,411 |
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Terminal Value |
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$197,609,486,551 |
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Net Worth/Share |
$29.63 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario
Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$144,949,885,427 |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$6,630,388,000 |
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197.80 |
1.50% |
2.00% |
2.50% |
3.00% |
3.50% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$21,060,953,000 |
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WACC |
9.15% |
178.6 |
189.3 |
201.5 |
215.8 |
232.6 |
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Equity Value |
$130,519,320,427 |
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9.20% |
177.1 |
187.6 |
199.7 |
213.7 |
230.1 |
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Shares Outstanding |
659845000 |
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9.25% |
175.7 |
186.0 |
197.8 |
211.6 |
227.7 |
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9.75% |
162.2 |
171.0 |
181.0 |
192.6 |
205.9 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$197.80 |
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10.25% |
150.2 |
157.8 |
166.4 |
176.2 |
187.4 |
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© Swarnadeep
Seth (2022) |
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Ignored due to the abrupt increase in the Cash
Flow percentage |
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