| Intrinsic Valuation of JUBLFOOD | |||||||||||
| JUBLFOOD Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF Growth | |||||||||
| 2021 | $4,944,958,000 | -9.09% | EPS (FY) | 6.37 | Market Cap | 380B | |||||
| 2020 | $5,439,573,000 | 74.02% | P/E Ratio | 81.77 | Total Asset | 48B | |||||
| 2019 | $3,125,863,000 | 11.57% | Net Income | 4B | Total Debt | 21B | |||||
| 2018 | $2,801,769,000 | -6.48% | EBITDA | 12B | Total Liab | 28B | |||||
| 2017 | $2,995,850,000 | 2563.66% | Opr Margin | 0.1697 | Debt/Equity | 1.08 | |||||
| 2016 | $112,471,000 | PreTax Margin | 0.1373 | BV/Share | - | ||||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $3,861,602,600 | 17.50% | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.00 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.50% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rete (WACC): | 9.25% | Current US Bond Yield: | 1.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection | ||||||||||
| 2022 | $5,810,505,239 | MBG Intrinsic Value | $134.32 | ||||||||
| 2023 | $6,827,554,681 | ||||||||||
| 2024 | $8,022,624,711 | ||||||||||
| 2025 | $9,426,875,398 | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $11,076,920,956 | ||||||||||
| 2027 | $13,015,784,411 | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $197,609,486,551 | Net Worth/Share | $29.63 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $144,949,885,427 | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $6,630,388,000 | 197.80 | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $21,060,953,000 | WACC | 9.15% | 178.6 | 189.3 | 201.5 | 215.8 | 232.6 | |||
| Equity Value | $130,519,320,427 | 9.20% | 177.1 | 187.6 | 199.7 | 213.7 | 230.1 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 659845000 | 9.25% | 175.7 | 186.0 | 197.8 | 211.6 | 227.7 | ||||
| 9.75% | 162.2 | 171.0 | 181.0 | 192.6 | 205.9 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $197.80 | 10.25% | 150.2 | 157.8 | 166.4 | 176.2 | 187.4 | ||||
| © Swarnadeep Seth (2022) | Ignored due to the abrupt increase in the Cash Flow percentage | ||||||||||