Intrinsic Valuation of HEROMOTOCO
HEROMOTOCO Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y   Key Statistics
Year   FCF FCF Growth
2021 $16,454,900,000 -54.22% EPS (FY) 115.93   Market Cap 553B
2020 $35,945,300,000 -20.64% P/E Ratio 23.88 Total Asset 227B
2019 $45,291,200,000 1105.93% Net Income 23B Total Debt 6B
2018 $3,755,700,000 -88.91% EBITDA 34B Total Liab 67B
2017 $33,876,200,000 15.34% Opr Margin 0.0932 Debt/Equity 0.04
2016 $29,371,300,000 PreTax Margin 0.1102   BV/Share 793.08
5Y Median FCF   $27,064,660,000 -20.64%
Overall Market Assumptions:
Assumptions: P/E for No-Growth Company: 7.00  
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): 2.50% Historical US Bond Yield: 4.40%  
Discount Rete (WACC): 6.98% Current US Bond Yield: 1.48%  
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value
Year   FCF Projection  
2022 $13,059,409,266 MBG Intrinsic Value $2,436.56
2023 $10,364,582,610
2024 $8,225,837,056
2025 $6,528,424,523
2026 $5,181,275,347
2027 $4,112,112,215
Terminal Value   $94,128,337,081   Net Worth/Share $800.55
DCF Valuation DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table
Enterprise Value $98,112,643,004 Growth Rate
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents $61,700,500,000 769.59 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50%
(-) Total Debt $6,051,700,000 WACC 6.88% 720.0 746.3 778.6 819.2 871.8
Equity Value $153,761,443,004 6.93% 716.7 742.4 773.9 813.5 864.5
Shares Outstanding 199796939 6.98% 713.5 738.6 769.4 807.9 857.5
7.48% 684.2 704.5 729.0 758.9 796.4
DCF Intrinsic Value $769.59 7.98% 659.3 676.0 695.9 719.6 748.7
© Swarnadeep Seth (2022)