| Intrinsic Valuation of HEROMOTOCO | |||||||||||
| HEROMOTOCO Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF Growth | |||||||||
| 2021 | $16,454,900,000 | -54.22% | EPS (FY) | 115.93 | Market Cap | 553B | |||||
| 2020 | $35,945,300,000 | -20.64% | P/E Ratio | 23.88 | Total Asset | 227B | |||||
| 2019 | $45,291,200,000 | 1105.93% | Net Income | 23B | Total Debt | 6B | |||||
| 2018 | $3,755,700,000 | -88.91% | EBITDA | 34B | Total Liab | 67B | |||||
| 2017 | $33,876,200,000 | 15.34% | Opr Margin | 0.0932 | Debt/Equity | 0.04 | |||||
| 2016 | $29,371,300,000 | PreTax Margin | 0.1102 | BV/Share | 793.08 | ||||||
| 5Y Median FCF | $27,064,660,000 | -20.64% | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.00 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.50% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rete (WACC): | 6.98% | Current US Bond Yield: | 1.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection | ||||||||||
| 2022 | $13,059,409,266 | MBG Intrinsic Value | $2,436.56 | ||||||||
| 2023 | $10,364,582,610 | ||||||||||
| 2024 | $8,225,837,056 | ||||||||||
| 2025 | $6,528,424,523 | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $5,181,275,347 | ||||||||||
| 2027 | $4,112,112,215 | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $94,128,337,081 | Net Worth/Share | $800.55 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $98,112,643,004 | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $61,700,500,000 | 769.59 | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $6,051,700,000 | WACC | 6.88% | 720.0 | 746.3 | 778.6 | 819.2 | 871.8 | |||
| Equity Value | $153,761,443,004 | 6.93% | 716.7 | 742.4 | 773.9 | 813.5 | 864.5 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 199796939 | 6.98% | 713.5 | 738.6 | 769.4 | 807.9 | 857.5 | ||||
| 7.48% | 684.2 | 704.5 | 729.0 | 758.9 | 796.4 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $769.59 | 7.98% | 659.3 | 676.0 | 695.9 | 719.6 | 748.7 | ||||
| © Swarnadeep Seth (2022) | |||||||||||