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Intrinsic Valuation of HEROMOTOCO |
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HEROMOTOCO Free Cash Flow Average and Growth
over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF Growth |
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2021 |
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$16,454,900,000 |
-54.22% |
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EPS (FY) |
115.93 |
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Market Cap |
553B |
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2020 |
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$35,945,300,000 |
-20.64% |
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P/E Ratio |
23.88 |
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Total Asset |
227B |
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2019 |
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$45,291,200,000 |
1105.93% |
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Net Income |
23B |
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Total Debt |
6B |
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2018 |
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$3,755,700,000 |
-88.91% |
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EBITDA |
34B |
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Total Liab |
67B |
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2017 |
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$33,876,200,000 |
15.34% |
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Opr Margin |
0.0932 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.04 |
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2016 |
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$29,371,300,000 |
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PreTax Margin |
0.1102 |
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BV/Share |
793.08 |
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5Y Median FCF |
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$27,064,660,000 |
-20.64% |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.00 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.50% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.40% |
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Discount Rete (WACC): |
6.98% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
1.48% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection |
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2022 |
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$13,059,409,266 |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$2,436.56 |
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2023 |
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$10,364,582,610 |
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2024 |
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$8,225,837,056 |
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2025 |
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$6,528,424,523 |
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2026 |
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$5,181,275,347 |
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2027 |
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$4,112,112,215 |
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Terminal Value |
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$94,128,337,081 |
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Net Worth/Share |
$800.55 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario
Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$98,112,643,004 |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$61,700,500,000 |
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769.59 |
1.50% |
2.00% |
2.50% |
3.00% |
3.50% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$6,051,700,000 |
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WACC |
6.88% |
720.0 |
746.3 |
778.6 |
819.2 |
871.8 |
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Equity Value |
$153,761,443,004 |
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6.93% |
716.7 |
742.4 |
773.9 |
813.5 |
864.5 |
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Shares Outstanding |
199796939 |
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6.98% |
713.5 |
738.6 |
769.4 |
807.9 |
857.5 |
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7.48% |
684.2 |
704.5 |
729.0 |
758.9 |
796.4 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$769.59 |
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7.98% |
659.3 |
676.0 |
695.9 |
719.6 |
748.7 |
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© Swarnadeep
Seth (2022) |
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