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Intrinsic Valuation of HDFCBANK |
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HDFCBANK Free Cash Flow Average and Growth
over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF Growth |
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2021 |
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$213,173,900,000 |
-63.93% |
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EPS (FY) |
68.31 |
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Market Cap |
7929B |
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2020 |
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$591,042,764,000 |
33.23% |
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P/E Ratio |
19.92 |
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Total Asset |
21649B |
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2019 |
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$443,610,430,000 |
64.80% |
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Net Income |
381B |
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Total Debt |
2423B |
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2018 |
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$269,179,715,000 |
42.41% |
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EBITDA |
- |
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Total Liab |
18749B |
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2017 |
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$189,017,216,000 |
-50.36% |
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Opr Margin |
0.3067 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.84 |
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2016 |
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$380,791,461,000 |
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PreTax Margin |
0.3067 |
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BV/Share |
445.99 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$341,204,805,000 |
5.23% |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.00 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.50% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.40% |
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Discount Rete (WACC): |
7.43% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
1.48% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection |
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2022 |
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$224,323,342,239 |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$1,436.59 |
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2023 |
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$236,055,923,701 |
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2024 |
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$248,402,143,789 |
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2025 |
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$261,394,097,093 |
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2026 |
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$275,065,556,813 |
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2027 |
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$289,452,062,561 |
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Terminal Value |
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$6,018,159,867,288 |
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Net Worth/Share |
$524.06 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario
Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$4,834,527,023,864 |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$0 |
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435.79 |
1.50% |
2.00% |
2.50% |
3.00% |
3.50% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$2,423,192,200,000 |
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WACC |
7.33% |
333.0 |
388.0 |
454.5 |
536.3 |
639.5 |
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Equity Value |
$2,411,334,823,864 |
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7.38% |
326.1 |
380.0 |
445.0 |
524.9 |
625.3 |
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Shares Outstanding |
5533203566 |
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7.43% |
319.4 |
372.2 |
435.8 |
513.7 |
611.4 |
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7.93% |
257.8 |
301.2 |
352.6 |
414.4 |
490.2 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$435.79 |
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8.43% |
205.3 |
241.4 |
283.6 |
333.6 |
393.7 |
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© Swarnadeep
Seth (2022) |
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