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Intrinsic Valuation of COLPAL |
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COLPAL Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over
past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF Growth |
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2021 |
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$15,966,814,000 |
113.93% |
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EPS (FY) |
39.65 |
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Market Cap |
439B |
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2020 |
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$7,463,473,000 |
-16.63% |
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P/E Ratio |
41.63 |
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Total Asset |
29B |
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2019 |
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$8,952,613,000 |
2.50% |
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Net Income |
11B |
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Total Debt |
1B |
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2018 |
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$8,733,936,000 |
70.60% |
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EBITDA |
15B |
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Total Liab |
12B |
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2017 |
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$5,119,604,000 |
29.78% |
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Opr Margin |
0.2650 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.05 |
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2016 |
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$3,944,826,000 |
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PreTax Margin |
0.2684 |
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BV/Share |
63.78 |
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5Y Median FCF |
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$9,247,288,000 |
29.78% |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.00 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.50% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.40% |
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Discount Rete (WACC): |
5.16% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
1.48% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection |
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2022 |
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$20,721,766,897 |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$831.15 |
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2023 |
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$26,892,755,395 |
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2024 |
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$34,901,478,060 |
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2025 |
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$45,295,216,236 |
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2026 |
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$58,784,232,872 |
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2027 |
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$76,290,308,812 |
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Terminal Value |
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$2,941,705,114,138 |
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Net Worth/Share |
$63.78 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario
Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$2,281,901,647,618 |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$7,547,127,000 |
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8414.48 |
1.50% |
2.00% |
2.50% |
3.00% |
3.50% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$830,536,000 |
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WACC |
5.06% |
6472.4 |
7429.8 |
8761.2 |
10738.9 |
13984.4 |
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Equity Value |
$2,288,618,238,618 |
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5.11% |
6373.9 |
7300.2 |
8581.5 |
10469.9 |
13531.3 |
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Shares Outstanding |
271985634 |
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5.16% |
6278.1 |
7174.8 |
8408.5 |
10213.4 |
13105.6 |
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5.66% |
5448.5 |
6110.5 |
6982.0 |
8181.1 |
9935.4 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$8,414.48 |
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6.16% |
4799.3 |
5304.7 |
5948.2 |
6795.4 |
7961.0 |
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© Swarnadeep
Seth (2022) |
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