Intrinsic Valuation of TSLA
TSLA Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y   Key Statistics
Year   FCF FCF Growth
2021 $4,983,000,000 83.81% EPS (FY) 4.89   Market Cap 845B
2020 $2,711,000,000 178.62% P/E Ratio 89.47 Total Asset 69B
2019 $973,000,000 538.85% Net Income 6B Total Debt 9B
2018 ($221,714,000) 94.65% EBITDA 14B Total Liab 31B
2017 ($4,142,008,000) -164.78% Opr Margin 0.1619 Debt/Equity 0.12
2016 ($1,564,300,000) PreTax Margin 0.1581   BV/Share 29.22
5Y Median FCF   $860,655,600 94.65%
Overall Market Assumptions:
Assumptions: P/E for No-Growth Company: 7.00  
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): 2.50% Historical US Bond Yield: 4.40%  
Discount Rete (WACC): 14.13% Current US Bond Yield: 1.48%  
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value
Year   FCF Projection  
2022 $9,699,269,259 MBG Intrinsic Value $103.88
2023 $18,879,354,638
2024 $36,748,132,466
2025 $71,529,205,612
2026 $139,229,585,618
2027 $271,006,469,950
Terminal Value   $2,388,918,575,835   Net Worth/Share $38.50
DCF Valuation DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table
Enterprise Value $1,231,656,621,592 Growth Rate
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents $18,052,000,000 1258.45 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50%
(-) Total Debt $8,873,000,000 WACC 14.03% 1187.1 1228.6 1273.7 1322.8 1376.6
Equity Value $1,240,835,621,592 14.08% 1180.3 1221.3 1265.9 1314.4 1367.6
Shares Outstanding 986000000 14.13% 1173.5 1214.1 1258.1 1306.2 1358.7
14.63% 1108.7 1145.2 1184.8 1227.7 1274.5
DCF Intrinsic Value $1,258.45 15.13% 1049.2 1082.2 1117.8 1156.3 1198.2
Swarnadeep Seth (2022)