| Intrinsic Valuation of TSLA | |||||||||||
| TSLA Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF Growth | |||||||||
| 2021 | $4,983,000,000 | 83.81% | EPS (FY) | 4.89 | Market Cap | 845B | |||||
| 2020 | $2,711,000,000 | 178.62% | P/E Ratio | 89.47 | Total Asset | 69B | |||||
| 2019 | $973,000,000 | 538.85% | Net Income | 6B | Total Debt | 9B | |||||
| 2018 | ($221,714,000) | 94.65% | EBITDA | 14B | Total Liab | 31B | |||||
| 2017 | ($4,142,008,000) | -164.78% | Opr Margin | 0.1619 | Debt/Equity | 0.12 | |||||
| 2016 | ($1,564,300,000) | PreTax Margin | 0.1581 | BV/Share | 29.22 | ||||||
| 5Y Median FCF | $860,655,600 | 94.65% | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.00 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.50% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rete (WACC): | 14.13% | Current US Bond Yield: | 1.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection | ||||||||||
| 2022 | $9,699,269,259 | MBG Intrinsic Value | $103.88 | ||||||||
| 2023 | $18,879,354,638 | ||||||||||
| 2024 | $36,748,132,466 | ||||||||||
| 2025 | $71,529,205,612 | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $139,229,585,618 | ||||||||||
| 2027 | $271,006,469,950 | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $2,388,918,575,835 | Net Worth/Share | $38.50 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $1,231,656,621,592 | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $18,052,000,000 | 1258.45 | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $8,873,000,000 | WACC | 14.03% | 1187.1 | 1228.6 | 1273.7 | 1322.8 | 1376.6 | |||
| Equity Value | $1,240,835,621,592 | 14.08% | 1180.3 | 1221.3 | 1265.9 | 1314.4 | 1367.6 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 986000000 | 14.13% | 1173.5 | 1214.1 | 1258.1 | 1306.2 | 1358.7 | ||||
| 14.63% | 1108.7 | 1145.2 | 1184.8 | 1227.7 | 1274.5 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $1,258.45 | 15.13% | 1049.2 | 1082.2 | 1117.8 | 1156.3 | 1198.2 | ||||
| Swarnadeep Seth (2022) | |||||||||||