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Intrinsic Valuation of PYPL |
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PYPL Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over
past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF Growth |
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2021 |
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$5,432,000,000 |
8.90% |
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EPS (FY) |
3.52 |
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Market Cap |
96B |
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2020 |
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$4,988,000,000 |
29.32% |
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P/E Ratio |
26.52 |
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Total Asset |
76B |
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2019 |
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$3,857,000,000 |
-17.23% |
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Net Income |
4B |
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Total Debt |
10B |
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2018 |
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$4,660,000,000 |
150.00% |
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EBITDA |
5B |
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Total Liab |
54B |
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2017 |
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$1,864,000,000 |
-25.11% |
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Opr Margin |
0.1565 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.44 |
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2016 |
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$2,489,000,000 |
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PreTax Margin |
0.1489 |
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BV/Share |
18.60 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$4,160,200,000 |
29.18% |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.00 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.50% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.40% |
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Discount Rete (WACC): |
9.88% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
1.48% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection |
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2022 |
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$7,016,866,673 |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$74.19 |
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2023 |
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$9,064,141,736 |
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2024 |
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$11,708,739,704 |
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2025 |
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$15,124,938,405 |
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2026 |
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$19,537,863,812 |
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2027 |
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$25,238,325,746 |
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Terminal Value |
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$350,496,467,992 |
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Net Worth/Share |
$18.51 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario
Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$240,861,985,474 |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$9,500,000,000 |
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204.90 |
1.50% |
2.00% |
2.50% |
3.00% |
3.50% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$9,810,000,000 |
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WACC |
9.78% |
187.9 |
197.4 |
208.2 |
220.7 |
235.1 |
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Equity Value |
$240,551,985,474 |
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9.83% |
186.5 |
195.9 |
206.6 |
218.8 |
233.0 |
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Shares Outstanding |
1174000000 |
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9.88% |
185.2 |
194.4 |
204.9 |
217.0 |
230.9 |
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10.38% |
172.7 |
180.7 |
189.7 |
199.9 |
211.6 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$204.90 |
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10.88% |
161.6 |
168.6 |
176.4 |
185.1 |
195.1 |
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Swarnadeep
Seth (2022) |
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