| Intrinsic Valuation of PYPL | |||||||||||
| PYPL Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF Growth | |||||||||
| 2021 | $5,432,000,000 | 8.90% | EPS (FY) | 3.52 | Market Cap | 96B | |||||
| 2020 | $4,988,000,000 | 29.32% | P/E Ratio | 26.52 | Total Asset | 76B | |||||
| 2019 | $3,857,000,000 | -17.23% | Net Income | 4B | Total Debt | 10B | |||||
| 2018 | $4,660,000,000 | 150.00% | EBITDA | 5B | Total Liab | 54B | |||||
| 2017 | $1,864,000,000 | -25.11% | Opr Margin | 0.1565 | Debt/Equity | 0.44 | |||||
| 2016 | $2,489,000,000 | PreTax Margin | 0.1489 | BV/Share | 18.60 | ||||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $4,160,200,000 | 29.18% | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.00 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.50% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rete (WACC): | 9.88% | Current US Bond Yield: | 1.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection | ||||||||||
| 2022 | $7,016,866,673 | MBG Intrinsic Value | $74.19 | ||||||||
| 2023 | $9,064,141,736 | ||||||||||
| 2024 | $11,708,739,704 | ||||||||||
| 2025 | $15,124,938,405 | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $19,537,863,812 | ||||||||||
| 2027 | $25,238,325,746 | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $350,496,467,992 | Net Worth/Share | $18.51 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $240,861,985,474 | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $9,500,000,000 | 204.90 | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $9,810,000,000 | WACC | 9.78% | 187.9 | 197.4 | 208.2 | 220.7 | 235.1 | |||
| Equity Value | $240,551,985,474 | 9.83% | 186.5 | 195.9 | 206.6 | 218.8 | 233.0 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1174000000 | 9.88% | 185.2 | 194.4 | 204.9 | 217.0 | 230.9 | ||||
| 10.38% | 172.7 | 180.7 | 189.7 | 199.9 | 211.6 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $204.90 | 10.88% | 161.6 | 168.6 | 176.4 | 185.1 | 195.1 | ||||
| Swarnadeep Seth (2022) | |||||||||||