| Intrinsic Valuation of NVDA | |||||||||||
| NVDA Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF Growth | |||||||||
| 2021 | $8,132,000,000 | 73.24% | EPS (FY) | 3.85 | Market Cap | 451B | |||||
| 2020 | $4,694,000,000 | 9.88% | P/E Ratio | 47.79 | Total Asset | 45B | |||||
| 2019 | $4,272,000,000 | 35.92% | Net Income | 10B | Total Debt | 12B | |||||
| 2018 | $3,143,000,000 | 8.04% | EBITDA | 13B | Total Liab | 18B | |||||
| 2017 | $2,909,000,000 | 94.45% | Opr Margin | 0.4036 | Debt/Equity | 0.44 | |||||
| 2016 | $1,496,000,000 | PreTax Margin | 0.3284 | BV/Share | 10.62 | ||||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $4,630,000,000 | 44.31% | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.00 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.50% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rete (WACC): | 14.24% | Current US Bond Yield: | 1.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection | ||||||||||
| 2022 | $11,735,088,857 | MBG Intrinsic Value | $81.69 | ||||||||
| 2023 | $16,934,617,621 | ||||||||||
| 2024 | $24,437,929,481 | ||||||||||
| 2025 | $35,265,773,974 | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $50,891,169,602 | ||||||||||
| 2027 | $73,439,793,082 | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $641,353,553,031 | Net Worth/Share | $11.07 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $372,160,489,198 | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $21,208,000,000 | 152.92 | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $11,687,000,000 | WACC | 14.14% | 145.5 | 149.8 | 154.5 | 159.7 | 165.3 | |||
| Equity Value | $381,681,489,198 | 14.19% | 144.8 | 149.0 | 153.7 | 158.8 | 164.3 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 2496000000 | 14.24% | 144.0 | 148.3 | 152.9 | 157.9 | 163.4 | ||||
| 14.74% | 137.0 | 140.8 | 145.0 | 149.4 | 154.3 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $152.92 | 15.24% | 130.5 | 134.0 | 137.7 | 141.7 | 146.1 | ||||
| Swarnadeep Seth (2022) | |||||||||||