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Intrinsic Valuation of NVDA |
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NVDA Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over
past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF Growth |
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2021 |
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$8,132,000,000 |
73.24% |
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EPS (FY) |
3.85 |
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Market Cap |
451B |
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2020 |
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$4,694,000,000 |
9.88% |
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P/E Ratio |
47.79 |
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Total Asset |
45B |
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2019 |
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$4,272,000,000 |
35.92% |
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Net Income |
10B |
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Total Debt |
12B |
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2018 |
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$3,143,000,000 |
8.04% |
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EBITDA |
13B |
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Total Liab |
18B |
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2017 |
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$2,909,000,000 |
94.45% |
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Opr Margin |
0.4036 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.44 |
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2016 |
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$1,496,000,000 |
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PreTax Margin |
0.3284 |
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BV/Share |
10.62 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$4,630,000,000 |
44.31% |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.00 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.50% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.40% |
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Discount Rete (WACC): |
14.24% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
1.48% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection |
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2022 |
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$11,735,088,857 |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$81.69 |
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2023 |
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$16,934,617,621 |
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2024 |
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$24,437,929,481 |
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2025 |
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$35,265,773,974 |
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2026 |
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$50,891,169,602 |
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2027 |
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$73,439,793,082 |
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Terminal Value |
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$641,353,553,031 |
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Net Worth/Share |
$11.07 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario
Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$372,160,489,198 |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$21,208,000,000 |
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152.92 |
1.50% |
2.00% |
2.50% |
3.00% |
3.50% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$11,687,000,000 |
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WACC |
14.14% |
145.5 |
149.8 |
154.5 |
159.7 |
165.3 |
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Equity Value |
$381,681,489,198 |
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14.19% |
144.8 |
149.0 |
153.7 |
158.8 |
164.3 |
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Shares Outstanding |
2496000000 |
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14.24% |
144.0 |
148.3 |
152.9 |
157.9 |
163.4 |
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14.74% |
137.0 |
140.8 |
145.0 |
149.4 |
154.3 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$152.92 |
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15.24% |
130.5 |
134.0 |
137.7 |
141.7 |
146.1 |
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Swarnadeep
Seth (2022) |
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