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Intrinsic Valuation of GOOGL |
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GOOGL Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over
past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF Growth |
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2021 |
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$67,012,000,000 |
56.41% |
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EPS (FY) |
5.61 |
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Market Cap |
1511B |
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2020 |
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$42,843,000,000 |
38.33% |
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P/E Ratio |
20.60 |
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Total Asset |
357B |
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2019 |
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$30,972,000,000 |
35.65% |
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Net Income |
76B |
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Total Debt |
29B |
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2018 |
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$22,832,000,000 |
-4.50% |
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EBITDA |
95B |
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Total Liab |
108B |
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2017 |
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$23,907,000,000 |
-7.42% |
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Opr Margin |
0.3033 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.11 |
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2016 |
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$25,824,000,000 |
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PreTax Margin |
0.3276 |
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BV/Share |
19.00 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$37,513,200,000 |
23.69% |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.00 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.50% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.40% |
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Discount Rete (WACC): |
9.43% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
1.48% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection |
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2022 |
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$82,890,214,064 |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$118.32 |
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2023 |
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$102,530,704,764 |
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2024 |
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$126,824,927,864 |
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2025 |
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$156,875,565,859 |
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2026 |
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$194,046,577,262 |
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2027 |
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$240,025,104,872 |
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Terminal Value |
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$3,548,837,598,911 |
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Net Worth/Share |
$18.68 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario
Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$2,519,179,492,983 |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$139,649,000,000 |
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196.98 |
1.50% |
2.00% |
2.50% |
3.00% |
3.50% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$28,508,000,000 |
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WACC |
9.33% |
180.5 |
189.7 |
200.2 |
212.4 |
226.7 |
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Equity Value |
$2,630,320,492,983 |
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9.38% |
179.3 |
188.3 |
198.6 |
210.6 |
224.6 |
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Shares Outstanding |
13353000000 |
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9.43% |
178.0 |
186.9 |
197.1 |
208.8 |
222.5 |
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9.93% |
166.3 |
173.9 |
182.6 |
192.5 |
203.9 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$196.98 |
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10.43% |
156.0 |
162.6 |
170.0 |
178.4 |
188.0 |
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Swarnadeep
Seth (2022) |
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