| Intrinsic Valuation of EBAY | |||||||||||
| EBAY Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF Growth | |||||||||
| 2021 | $2,213,000,000 | 13.14% | EPS (FY) | (3.34) | Market Cap | 27B | |||||
| 2020 | $1,956,000,000 | -24.51% | P/E Ratio | - | Total Asset | 23B | |||||
| 2019 | $2,591,000,000 | 29.10% | Net Income | -2B | Total Debt | 9B | |||||
| 2018 | $2,007,000,000 | -19.07% | EBITDA | 3B | Total Liab | 17B | |||||
| 2017 | $2,480,000,000 | 12.73% | Opr Margin | 0.2725 | Debt/Equity | 1.27 | |||||
| 2016 | $2,200,000,000 | PreTax Margin | -0.1918 | BV/Share | 16.46 | ||||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $2,249,400,000 | 2.28% | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.00 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.50% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rete (WACC): | 8.48% | Current US Bond Yield: | 1.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection | ||||||||||
| 2022 | $2,263,385,566 | MBG Intrinsic Value | ($70.36) | ||||||||
| 2023 | $2,314,918,309 | ||||||||||
| 2024 | $2,367,624,350 | ||||||||||
| 2025 | $2,421,530,402 | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $2,476,663,786 | ||||||||||
| 2027 | $2,533,052,446 | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $43,399,585,330 | Net Worth/Share | $9.40 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $35,404,254,554 | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $7,323,000,000 | 51.07 | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $9,432,000,000 | WACC | 8.38% | 46.1 | 48.8 | 52.0 | 55.8 | 60.4 | |||
| Equity Value | $33,295,254,554 | 8.43% | 45.7 | 48.4 | 51.6 | 55.3 | 59.7 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 652000000 | 8.48% | 45.4 | 48.0 | 51.1 | 54.7 | 59.1 | ||||
| 8.98% | 42.0 | 44.3 | 46.8 | 49.8 | 53.4 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $51.07 | 9.48% | 39.1 | 41.0 | 43.2 | 45.7 | 48.6 | ||||
| © Swarnadeep Seth (2022) | |||||||||||