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Intrinsic Valuation of EBAY |
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EBAY Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over
past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF Growth |
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2021 |
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$2,213,000,000 |
13.14% |
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EPS (FY) |
(3.34) |
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Market Cap |
27B |
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2020 |
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$1,956,000,000 |
-24.51% |
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P/E Ratio |
- |
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Total Asset |
23B |
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2019 |
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$2,591,000,000 |
29.10% |
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Net Income |
-2B |
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Total Debt |
9B |
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2018 |
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$2,007,000,000 |
-19.07% |
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EBITDA |
3B |
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Total Liab |
17B |
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2017 |
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$2,480,000,000 |
12.73% |
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Opr Margin |
0.2725 |
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Debt/Equity |
1.27 |
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2016 |
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$2,200,000,000 |
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PreTax Margin |
-0.1918 |
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BV/Share |
16.46 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$2,249,400,000 |
2.28% |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.00 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.50% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.40% |
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Discount Rete (WACC): |
8.48% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
1.48% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection |
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2022 |
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$2,263,385,566 |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
($70.36) |
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2023 |
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$2,314,918,309 |
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2024 |
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$2,367,624,350 |
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2025 |
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$2,421,530,402 |
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2026 |
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$2,476,663,786 |
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2027 |
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$2,533,052,446 |
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Terminal Value |
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$43,399,585,330 |
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Net Worth/Share |
$9.40 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario
Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$35,404,254,554 |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$7,323,000,000 |
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51.07 |
1.50% |
2.00% |
2.50% |
3.00% |
3.50% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$9,432,000,000 |
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WACC |
8.38% |
46.1 |
48.8 |
52.0 |
55.8 |
60.4 |
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Equity Value |
$33,295,254,554 |
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8.43% |
45.7 |
48.4 |
51.6 |
55.3 |
59.7 |
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Shares Outstanding |
652000000 |
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8.48% |
45.4 |
48.0 |
51.1 |
54.7 |
59.1 |
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8.98% |
42.0 |
44.3 |
46.8 |
49.8 |
53.4 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$51.07 |
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9.48% |
39.1 |
41.0 |
43.2 |
45.7 |
48.6 |
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© Swarnadeep
Seth (2022) |
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