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Intrinsic Valuation of CSCO |
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CSCO Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over
past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF Growth |
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2021 |
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$14,762,000,000 |
0.72% |
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EPS (FY) |
2.50 |
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Market Cap |
186B |
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2020 |
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$14,656,000,000 |
-1.78% |
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P/E Ratio |
15.89 |
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Total Asset |
93B |
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2019 |
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$14,922,000,000 |
16.29% |
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Net Income |
11B |
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Total Debt |
13B |
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2018 |
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$12,832,000,000 |
-0.62% |
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EBITDA |
16B |
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Total Liab |
56B |
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2017 |
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$12,912,000,000 |
3.93% |
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Opr Margin |
0.2755 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.26 |
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2016 |
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$12,424,000,000 |
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PreTax Margin |
0.2868 |
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BV/Share |
9.79 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$14,016,800,000 |
3.71% |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.00 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.50% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.40% |
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Discount Rete (WACC): |
6.73% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
1.48% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection |
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2022 |
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$15,309,267,484 |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$52.53 |
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2023 |
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$15,876,823,663 |
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2024 |
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$16,465,420,692 |
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2025 |
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$17,075,838,614 |
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2026 |
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$17,708,886,388 |
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2027 |
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$18,365,402,965 |
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Terminal Value |
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$445,161,056,078 |
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Net Worth/Share |
$8.66 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario
Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$362,393,062,715 |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$24,532,000,000 |
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88.64 |
1.50% |
2.00% |
2.50% |
3.00% |
3.50% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$12,694,000,000 |
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WACC |
6.63% |
76.8 |
83.0 |
90.7 |
100.6 |
113.6 |
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Equity Value |
$374,231,062,715 |
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6.68% |
76.0 |
82.1 |
89.7 |
99.3 |
111.9 |
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Shares Outstanding |
4222000000 |
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6.73% |
75.3 |
81.3 |
88.6 |
97.9 |
110.2 |
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7.23% |
68.8 |
73.5 |
79.3 |
86.5 |
95.5 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$88.64 |
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7.73% |
63.3 |
67.2 |
71.8 |
77.5 |
84.4 |
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© Swarnadeep
Seth (2022) |
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