| Intrinsic Valuation of AMD | |||||||||||
| AMD Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF Growth | |||||||||
| 2021 | $3,220,000,000 | 314.41% | EPS (FY) | 2.57 | Market Cap | 148B | |||||
| 2020 | $777,000,000 | 181.52% | P/E Ratio | 33.35 | Total Asset | 67B | |||||
| 2019 | $276,000,000 | 313.95% | Net Income | 3B | Total Debt | 1B | |||||
| 2018 | ($129,000,000) | -27.72% | EBITDA | 5B | Total Liab | 5B | |||||
| 2017 | ($101,000,000) | -876.92% | Opr Margin | 0.2052 | Debt/Equity | 0.04 | |||||
| 2016 | $13,000,000 | PreTax Margin | 0.2078 | BV/Share | 6.21 | ||||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $808,600,000 | -18.95% | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.00 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.50% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rete (WACC): | 12.69% | Current US Bond Yield: | 1.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection | ||||||||||
| 2022 | $2,609,770,025 | MBG Intrinsic Value | $54.51 | ||||||||
| 2023 | $2,115,186,206 | ||||||||||
| 2024 | $1,714,332,161 | ||||||||||
| 2025 | $1,389,444,934 | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $1,126,127,869 | ||||||||||
| 2027 | $912,712,658 | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $9,177,741,341 | Net Worth/Share | $51.11 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $11,081,813,727 | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $3,608,000,000 | 11.51 | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $732,000,000 | WACC | 12.59% | 11.2 | 11.4 | 11.6 | 11.8 | 12.0 | |||
| Equity Value | $13,957,813,727 | 12.64% | 11.2 | 11.4 | 11.5 | 11.7 | 11.9 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1213000000 | 12.69% | 11.2 | 11.3 | 11.5 | 11.7 | 11.9 | ||||
| 13.19% | 10.9 | 11.0 | 11.2 | 11.4 | 11.5 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $11.51 | 13.69% | 10.6 | 10.8 | 10.9 | 11.1 | 11.2 | ||||
| Swarnadeep Seth (2022) | |||||||||||