Intrinsic Valuation of AMD
AMD Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y   Key Statistics
Year   FCF FCF Growth
2021 $3,220,000,000 314.41% EPS (FY) 2.57   Market Cap 148B
2020 $777,000,000 181.52% P/E Ratio 33.35 Total Asset 67B
2019 $276,000,000 313.95% Net Income 3B Total Debt 1B
2018 ($129,000,000) -27.72% EBITDA 5B Total Liab 5B
2017 ($101,000,000) -876.92% Opr Margin 0.2052 Debt/Equity 0.04
2016 $13,000,000 PreTax Margin 0.2078   BV/Share 6.21
5Y Average FCF   $808,600,000 -18.95%
Overall Market Assumptions:
Assumptions: P/E for No-Growth Company: 7.00  
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): 2.50% Historical US Bond Yield: 4.40%  
Discount Rete (WACC): 12.69% Current US Bond Yield: 1.48%  
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value
Year   FCF Projection  
2022 $2,609,770,025 MBG Intrinsic Value $54.51
2023 $2,115,186,206
2024 $1,714,332,161
2025 $1,389,444,934
2026 $1,126,127,869
2027 $912,712,658
Terminal Value   $9,177,741,341   Net Worth/Share $51.11
DCF Valuation DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table
Enterprise Value $11,081,813,727 Growth Rate
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents $3,608,000,000 11.51 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50%
(-) Total Debt $732,000,000 WACC 12.59% 11.2 11.4 11.6 11.8 12.0
Equity Value $13,957,813,727 12.64% 11.2 11.4 11.5 11.7 11.9
Shares Outstanding 1213000000 12.69% 11.2 11.3 11.5 11.7 11.9
13.19% 10.9 11.0 11.2 11.4 11.5
DCF Intrinsic Value $11.51 13.69% 10.6 10.8 10.9 11.1 11.2
Swarnadeep Seth (2022)