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Intrinsic Valuation of AMD |
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AMD Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past
5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF Growth |
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2021 |
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$3,220,000,000 |
314.41% |
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EPS (FY) |
2.57 |
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Market Cap |
148B |
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2020 |
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$777,000,000 |
181.52% |
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P/E Ratio |
33.35 |
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Total Asset |
67B |
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2019 |
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$276,000,000 |
313.95% |
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Net Income |
3B |
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Total Debt |
1B |
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2018 |
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($129,000,000) |
-27.72% |
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EBITDA |
5B |
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Total Liab |
5B |
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2017 |
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($101,000,000) |
-876.92% |
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Opr Margin |
0.2052 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.04 |
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2016 |
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$13,000,000 |
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PreTax Margin |
0.2078 |
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BV/Share |
6.21 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$808,600,000 |
-18.95% |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.00 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.50% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.40% |
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Discount Rete (WACC): |
12.69% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
1.48% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection |
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2022 |
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$2,609,770,025 |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$54.51 |
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2023 |
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$2,115,186,206 |
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2024 |
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$1,714,332,161 |
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2025 |
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$1,389,444,934 |
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2026 |
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$1,126,127,869 |
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2027 |
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$912,712,658 |
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Terminal Value |
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$9,177,741,341 |
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Net Worth/Share |
$51.11 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$11,081,813,727 |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$3,608,000,000 |
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11.51 |
1.50% |
2.00% |
2.50% |
3.00% |
3.50% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$732,000,000 |
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WACC |
12.59% |
11.2 |
11.4 |
11.6 |
11.8 |
12.0 |
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Equity Value |
$13,957,813,727 |
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12.64% |
11.2 |
11.4 |
11.5 |
11.7 |
11.9 |
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Shares Outstanding |
1213000000 |
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12.69% |
11.2 |
11.3 |
11.5 |
11.7 |
11.9 |
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13.19% |
10.9 |
11.0 |
11.2 |
11.4 |
11.5 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$11.51 |
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13.69% |
10.6 |
10.8 |
10.9 |
11.1 |
11.2 |
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Swarnadeep
Seth (2022) |
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